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Financial modeling, machine learning, and data-driven research

Built & Live

16 projects
quant

Advanced Option Pricing Suite

Derivatives pricing engine I built for CQF Module 3 (Exam 2, April 2026). Implements Black-Scholes-Merton, Heston stochastic volatility (priced via the Carr-Madan Fourier inversion), and Monte Carlo with antithetic variates. Reproduces the BSM closed-form to four decimals; measures a 2.9× variance reduction on the European call and 5.6× on the binary.

▸BSM closed form reproduces 10.4506 / 0.5323 (call / binary) to 4 decimals
▸Heston-Carr-Madan with Albrecher "little trap" — branch-cut-safe at long T
▸Monte Carlo VRF 2.9× European / 5.6× binary via strike-near-median antithetic effect
DerivativesHestonFourier
quant

Exotic Options Lab

Where the Black-Scholes closed form runs out. This page prices Asian, barrier, lookback, and American-exercise options under GBM using Monte Carlo path-dependence and the Longstaff-Schwartz regression. Includes live path-explorer animations and a copy-pasteable Python pricer.

▸Arithmetic & geometric Asian options with control-variate variance reduction
▸Barrier and lookback Monte Carlo with continuity correction
▸American-exercise pricing via Longstaff-Schwartz least-squares regression
ExoticsMonte CarloLongstaff-Schwartz
quant

Finite Difference Solver

Solving the Black-Scholes PDE directly on a grid. Explicit, implicit, and Crank-Nicolson schemes side by side, with a live stability visualisation showing exactly when the explicit method blows up past the CFL bound, and projected SOR for American early exercise.

▸BSM PDE reduced to the heat equation and solved on a grid
▸Explicit, implicit, and Crank-Nicolson convergence side by side
▸CFL stability visualisation: watch explicit FDM blow up live
PDEFinite DifferenceCrank-Nicolson
quant

Pricing Where GBM Breaks

A catalogue of markets where lognormal equity assumptions fail and the models that replace them: Garman-Kohlhagen for FX with two interest rates, Vasicek and Hull-White for rates, the Merton structural model for credit, and the Schwartz mean-reverting model for commodities.

▸Garman-Kohlhagen FX option pricing with the two-rate skew
▸Vasicek and Hull-White short-rate yield-curve simulator
▸Merton structural model: equity as a call on firm value
FXRatesCredit
quant

Commodity Risk Lab

Applied CQF Module 2.3 risk-machinery (Kupiec POF + Christoffersen independence + combined conditional coverage) to live commodity returns. Built on the daily Supabase pipeline I maintain for Muda Coffee — six tickers, fresh data nightly via GitHub Actions. Each asset gets its own thesis-driven VaR method recommendation; the Cornish-Fisher backtest on KC clears all three tests at the 95% level (p = 0.664 / 0.697 / 0.843).

▸Per-asset Kupiec POF + Christoffersen independence VaR backtest
▸Stylized-facts diagnostic (CQF Module 2.4) on the live returns series
▸Gaussian vs Cornish-Fisher vs FHS comparison with recommended method per asset
VaRRiskBacktesting
data-scienceFeatured

Spotify Popularity Time-Series Forecasting

Apply the same ARIMA / GARCH stack quants use for asset returns to a non-financial domain: track popularity on Spotify. Built on 586,672 tracks across 72 years (1950-2021). Includes a procedural Web Audio synthesiser that lets you hear what 'high energy, low valence' actually sounds like.

▸586,672 Spotify tracks, 1950-2021, real Kaggle dataset
▸auto.arima + EGARCH(1,1) on daily aggregated popularity
▸Per-genre ARIMA with stationarity testing and risk/reward analysis
RARIMAGARCH
appliedFeatured

Coffee Futures Snowflake Warehouse

A production-style Snowflake data warehouse for coffee futures research. Galaxy schema (fact constellation) with 8 fact tables (~1.2M rows total) and 19 dimension tables stitched together from FMP, FRED, Open-Meteo, and the CFTC COT report. Designed to make a coffee thesis queryable in one join.

▸Galaxy schema: 8 fact tables, 19 dimension tables, ~1.2M rows
▸ETL pipeline pulling FMP, FRED, Open-Meteo, and CFTC COT scraping
▸Date dimension with country-specific harvest seasons baked in
SnowflakeGalaxy SchemaETL
appliedFeatured

RH-Pipe — Delivery Planning Under Real Constraints

Lakehouse pipeline and multi-truck route planner for a Bay Area furniture delivery operation. Cleans and geocodes raw order files, then plans routes around the constraints the crew actually works under: loading time before departure, LIFO truck packing, lunch at hour four, and a hard 17:00 window. Benchmarked on 159 real orders against the 1-truck FIFO schedule the operation ran by hand: 4 delivery days instead of 11, zero overtime instead of 192 minutes, 74% fewer miles.

▸159 real orders: 4 delivery days vs 11 for the FIFO baseline, with 0 min of overtime
▸Realism encoded: depot loading before departure, LIFO packing, lunch windows, 17:00 hard stop
▸Same-day multi-truck coordination — split addresses arrive within 30 minutes
Data EngineeringRoute OptimizationPySpark
quant

Financial Transmission Rights Pricing

Most option pricing models assume the underlying is a stock or a commodity. This paper takes the Black-Scholes framework and adapts it for Financial Transmission Rights, where the underlying is congestion risk on a power grid. Includes jump-diffusion models, seasonality adjustments, and interactive LMP charts.

▸Black-Scholes adaptation for non-standard underlying assets
▸Congestion risk modeling in deregulated electricity markets
▸Jump-diffusion and seasonality adjustments
DerivativesBlack-ScholesEnergy Markets
valuationFeatured

Eli Lilly DCF Valuation

DCF valuation of Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) with pharmaceutical pipeline analysis — revenue projections probability-weighted by drug-approval stage, layered with WACC estimation (5.79% via CAPM on 5-year monthly betas), 9-peer relative valuation, and Monte Carlo sensitivity on terminal value and discount rate. Target $627 vs Mar 2024 reference $579, rated BUY.

▸Pipeline-stage probability-weighted revenue projections ($33B → $95B, 2023–2027)
▸WACC 5.79% via CAPM (5-year monthly βs), validated against 9-peer comp set
▸Monte Carlo sensitivity on terminal value & discount rate, not just bull/base/bear
DCFPharmaValuation
data-scienceFeatured

MNIST: MLP vs CNN

Technical comparison of a Multilayer Perceptron and a Convolutional Neural Network on MNIST digit classification. CNN reached 99.29% test accuracy vs the MLP's 97.92%, with a tighter generalisation gap (0.56% vs 1.70%). Includes 3Blue1Brown-style architecture visualisations and step-by-step convolution animations explaining why spatial awareness matters.

▸99.29% CNN accuracy vs 97.92% MLP accuracy
▸Interactive neural network architecture visualizations
▸Step-by-step convolution operation animation
Deep LearningPythonTensorFlow
data-science

Customer Segmentation Clustering

K-Means and hierarchical clustering on mall customer data. Identifies 5 spending behavior segments with ARI = 0.942 agreement between methods. The unsupervised methodology generalises directly to regime detection and factor-cluster portfolio construction on the quant side.

▸K-Means and hierarchical clustering comparison (ARI = 0.942)
▸Interactive elbow method and silhouette analysis
▸5 customer segment profiles with marketing strategies
Machine LearningK-MeansClustering
data-scienceFeatured

Brand Perception NLP — Nike vs Adidas vs Under Armour

Scraped and cleaned ~16K consumer reviews from the App Store, Reddit, and Trustpilot. Ran sentiment (NRC, AFINN, Bing lexicons), LDA topic modelling, TF-IDF, bigram and co-occurrence network analysis, and aspect-based sentiment on price, quality, and sustainability — surfaced the specific language driving each brand's perception per aspect.

▸Multi-platform data collection (App Store, Reddit, Trustpilot)
▸Comparative brand sentiment analysis
▸Topic modeling for brand perception drivers
NLPSentiment AnalysisR
data-science

Urban Heat Island ML Explorer

Interactive satellite ML classification explorer covering Rio de Janeiro, Santiago, and Freetown. Classifies urban heat island zones using the features extracted by UHI-Pipe.

▸Satellite imagery processing pipeline
▸Multi-city heat island classification
▸Interactive visualization dashboard
Satellite MLGeospatialPython
data-scienceFeatured

UHI-Pipe — Satellite ML Feature Library

A Python package I published on PyPI that pulls Sentinel-2, Landsat-8, and Copernicus DEM data from Microsoft Planetary Computer and computes 19 spectral indices (NDVI, NDBI, land-surface temperature, others) into ML-ready DataFrames with parquet caching. The feature substrate behind the UHI Explorer (0.96 F1 on Rio).

▸Published PyPI package — `pip install uhi-pipe`
▸19 spectral indices from Sentinel-2, Landsat-8, and DEM in one call
▸Microsoft Planetary Computer integration with parquet caching
Python PackagePyPISentinel-2
applied

Neon Survivor

Arena survival game in a single HTML file. All visuals drawn with Canvas, all audio synthesized with Web Audio API. 6 weapons, 6 passives, 6 evolutions, 7 enemy types, boss fights. Zero dependencies, instant load.

▸6 weapons, 6 passive upgrades, 6 weapon evolutions
▸All visuals and audio procedurally generated
▸Single ~50KB HTML file, no dependencies
HTML5 CanvasWeb Audio APIJavaScript

In Progress · Coming Soon

3 projects
quantComing Soon

Advanced ML Trading System

Implementation of methods from Lopez de Prado's Advances in Financial Machine Learning. CUSUM filters for event detection, triple barrier labeling, meta-labeling for signal confidence, purged K-fold cross-validation, and Kelly criterion for position sizing. Built in Python with XGBoost.

▸Triple barrier labeling and meta-labeling
▸Sequential bootstrap and purged K-fold CV
▸Kelly criterion dynamic bet sizing
Quantitative FinanceMLPython
valuationComing Soon

Amazon Comprehensive Financial Analysis

Full financial analysis of Amazon: income statement forecasting, balance sheet projection, DuPont decomposition, WACC estimation, and DCF modeling with Monte Carlo simulation on terminal value.

▸5-year revenue and margin forecasting
▸DuPont decomposition of ROE drivers
▸WACC estimation and sensitivity analysis
DCFValuationFinancial Modeling
appliedComing Soon

ResolvAI

AI-powered IT ticket resolution system built for BNP Paribas ServiceNow. Template-based with 10 pre-configured incident types and automated resolution note generation.

▸10 pre-configured incident resolution templates
▸Automated resolution note generation
▸Enterprise ServiceNow integration
AIServiceNowPython